Isimo sezepolitiki eNingizimu Afrika sibe noshintsho olukhulu ngokuvela koMkhonto Wesizwe Party (MK Party), ikakhulukazi kulandela ukubandakanyeka kowayengumengameli uJacob Zuma. Le ntuthuko isiqubule inkulumompikiswano nokuqagela mayelana nomthelela wayo ku-African National Congress (ANC) nasezinkundleni zepolitiki kabanzi, ikakhulukazi KwaZulu-Natal (KZN).

Ukuhlaziya Ukuzwa Kwabavoti e-KZN

Imininingwane yakamuva ekhishwe yiSocial Research Foundation (SRF) ibeke obala emthelela okhulayo we-MK Party e-KZN. Inhlolovo iphakamise uguquko olumangalisayo lwezepolitiki, kanti i-MK Party inamandla okuvikela amavoti angu-24% okhethweni oluzayo lwesifundazwe lwangomhla zingama-29 kuMeyi. Lokhu kulandelwa kakhulu yi-ANC ku-25%, iDemocratic Alliance (DA) ku-15%, i-Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) ku-5%, kanye neNkatha Freedom Party (IFP) ku-24%.

“Umuzi we-ANC uyasha; sekuphelile. Bashaqekile,” kuphawula omunye umhlaziyi, egqamisa okucatshangwa ukuthi kushintshile ngokwesimo sezulu eKZN. Omunye uchwepheshe wasikisela ukuthi inhlolovo imiphumela zikhombisa “ushintsho oluphelele kwezepolitiki yaseNingizimu Afrika,” incoma i-MK Party ngokunciphisa ukwesekwa kwe-ANC esifundazweni phakathi nezinyanga ezine.

Naphezu kwalezi zimangalo ezinesibindi, kubalulekile ukubhekana nezibikezelo ezinjalo ngokuqapha. Inhlolovo ye-SRF, exoxisane nabaphenduli abangu-820 ngocingo, imele ingxenye encane yabavoti base-KZN abangaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-5.7. Imikhawulo engokwemvelo yendlela kanye nemajini eshiwo yephutha ye-5% idinga ukuchazwa ngokucophelela kwalezi zibalo.

Umbono Wokuqhathanisa

Inhlolovo ye-Ipsos eyenziwe ngezingxoxo zobuso nobuso ngoJuni nangoJulayi 2023 inikeza umongo owengeziwe. Ngaphambi kokubhaliswa okusemthethweni kwe-MK Party kanye nokuba uZuma eyingxenye yomphakathi, ukwesekwa kwe-ANC kwalinganiswa ku-22%, i-DA ne-EFF womabili ku-13%, kwathi i-IFP yona ku-17%. Le nhlolovo iphinde yembula ingxenye enkulu yabaphenduli abangazibophezele noma abangazibophezeli, okuphakamisa iqoqo labalandeli abangaba abalandeli be-MK Party phakathi kwabavoti be-ANC abadumele.

Okutholwe yi-Ipsos kuphonsela inselelo ukulandisa kokuthi ukuphakama kwe-MK Party yikhona kuphela okuyimbangela yokwehla kwenhlanhla ye-ANC eKZN. Esikhundleni salokho, ikhomba kuthrendi yesikhathi eside yokuncipha kosekelo, okuthuthukisiwe kodwa okungaqalwanga ukuvela kwe-MK Party.

Umgwaqo Osengaphambili: Imifelandawonye kanye Nemithelela Kazwelonke

Ukuguquguquka kokwethembeka kanye namabutho ezombusazwe asafufusa e-KZN kukhomba esikhathini esizayo lapho lingekho iqembu elilodwa elineningi elicacile. Lesi simo kungenzeka sidinge ohulumeni babambisene, nezinhlanganisela ezahlukene ze-ANC, IFP, DA, kanye ne-MK Party zicutshungulwe ukuze kuzuzwe uzinzo ekubuseni futhi kubhekwane nesidingo esiphuthumayo sokwenziwa ngcono kokulethwa kwezidingo.

Ngale kwe-KZN, isicelo se-MK Party kubavoti abakhuluma isiZulu eGauteng naseMpumalanga singase sibe nomthelela kwezepolitiki kazwelonke. Ukubonakala okuqinile KwaZulu-Natal, okuhambisana nokwesekwa kulezi zifundazwe, kungase kuholele ezinguqukweni ezinkulu ekubunjweni kwesigungu sikazwelonke, okungase kudinge umfelandawonye obanzi ezingeni likazwelonke.

Isiphetho

Ukuvela kwe-MK Party kanye nokubandakanyeka kuka-Jacob Zuma kumelela isikhathi esibalulekile kwezepolitiki yaseNingizimu Afrika, ikakhulukazi okuthinta ukukhonya kwe-ANC. Yize umthelela okhona njengamanje ugqame kakhulu e-KZN, imiphumela engemihle ingadlulela kuzwelonke, iguqule isimo sezepolitiki kanye nemifelandawonye yabavoti. Njengoba iNingizimu Afrika isondela okhethweni olubalulekile, ukusebenzisana kwezikhungo ezinamandla zendabuko kanye nabasanda kungena abasha njenge-MK Party ngokungangabazeki kuzoba yisizinda sokuhlaziya nokuqagela.